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A Beginner’s Guide To Solana Price Action
04 August 2025 | 0 comments | Posted by Edward Fourie in Money Talks
Solana is another major altcoin player in the blockchain world, often appreciated for its high transaction speeds and low fees. For freshers, it is crucial to understand what changes the price of this asset.
If you're only now paying attention and feel overwhelmed with the amount of information you need to sift through, no need to feel upset, as this crash course is here to guide you about the Solana price, how it gets its value, and what to look for.
What is Solana?
It is a distributed ledger, open-source blockchain platform designed to host scalable applications and smart contracts. Solana has a native cryptocurrency, SOL, which is used for transacting fees, staking to secure the network, and governance within the ecosystem.
This surfaces with goals to solve the scalability issues experienced by older blockchains, offering speedy transactions at lower rates.
Current Market Position
As of August 2025, Solana is trading around $162 USD and holds the #6 ranking by market cap with approximately $87 billion in total market value.
The token has shown resilience throughout various market cycles, though it experienced significant volatility following the FTX collapse in 2022.
How Does Solana Get Its Value?
Again, Solana's cost is driven by supply and demand; however, the following influences its price:
Speed and Scalability
The unique "Proof of History" consensus, merged with Proof of Stake, allows Solana to process thousands of transactions per second. This leads to a high throughput, making it an attractive asset for applications that demand rapid and frequent interactions. For instance, decentralized finance and gaming.
Low Transaction Fees
Solana flaunts lower transaction fees, a quality that the majority of other key blockchains lack. This becomes very affordable for investors and developers to construct and transact on the network.
Ecosystem Growth
The quality and number of projects built on Solana affect its value. Therefore, as more NFT marketplaces, DeFi protocols, and gaming platforms pick Solana, the asset's demand automatically increases.
Developer Activity
A blockchain's long-term success depends on a strong developer community. High levels of activity on Solana indicate innovation and a healthy future that can captivate more users and investors. Understand Solana's Price: What to Look For? Let us tell you how to approach Solana's price:
Don't Just Look at the Numbers
The cost of one SOL coin in USD is only one metric. Try to look for its market price to understand its size as compared to other cryptocurrencies. Observe Trends
Rather than concentrating on daily fluctuations, try to identify trends. For instance, keep observing the price for weeks and months. You will get to know whether the price is generally increasing or decreasing.
If you want to know about the Solana price, check ByBit. The site shows you a live fluctuation, so you can buy accordingly.
Key Factors That Influence Solana's Price
1. Network Fundamentals and Adoption
- Total Value Locked (TVL): One of the most important metrics for Solana is its TVL in decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols. Solana's TVL of $9.3 billion is higher than competing chains like Polygon ($5.7B) and Avalanche ($6.4B). TVL is a critical metric for evaluating blockchain health and adoption, with Solana's growth attributed to high throughput, low transaction costs, and a robust developer ecosystem.
- Transaction Volume and Activity: Solana's high-speed, low-cost transaction capabilities make it attractive for various use cases, from DeFi to NFTs. The NFT transaction volume on Solana is 3x higher than Polygon and nearly matches Ethereum's weekly volumes.
- Developer Activity: The number of active developers building on Solana directly correlates with long-term price potential. A growing developer ecosystem typically signals increased utility and adoption.
2. Market Sentiment and Macro Factors
- Crypto Market Cycles: Like most altcoins, SOL is heavily influenced by Bitcoin's price movements and overall crypto market sentiment. During bull markets, SOL tends to outperform Bitcoin, while bear markets see it decline more sharply.
- Institutional Adoption: Corporate partnerships, institutional investments, and integration with traditional finance systems can significantly impact price.
- Regulatory Environment: Crypto regulations, particularly in major markets like the US and EU, can cause significant price volatility.
3. Technical Performance and Network Health
- Network Uptime: Solana has faced periodic network outages in the past, which have negatively impacted the price. Consistent network reliability is crucial for maintaining investor confidence.
- Validator Count: A higher number of validators indicates better network decentralisation and security, which can positively influence price.
- Energy Efficiency: Solana uses 2,707 joules per transaction compared to Ethereum's 707,000 joules, making it an attractive option for environmentally conscious investors.
Key Metrics to Monitor
On-Chain Metrics
- Daily Active Addresses: Indicates real usage and adoption
- Transaction Count: Shows network activity levels
- Fee Revenue: Higher fees often indicate network congestion and high demand
- Staking Ratio: Percentage of SOL tokens staked affects circulating supply
DeFi Metrics
- Total Value Locked (TVL): Overall capital deployed in Solana DeFi protocols
- DEX Volume: Trading volume on decentralized exchanges built on Solana
- Lending/Borrowing Activity: Usage of DeFi lending protocols
Development Metrics
- GitHub Activity: Developer commits and contributions
- New Project Launches: Number of new dApps and protocols launching
- Grant Programs: Solana Foundation funding for ecosystem development
Historical Price Ranges
Solana has experienced extreme volatility throughout its history:
- All-Time High: ~$260 (November 2021)
- Post-FTX Low: Sub-$10 (December 2022)
- Current Range: Trading between $160-$200, with technical support around $160-165 and resistance near $191-200
Current Technical Outlook
Price predictions suggest SOL could reach around $364 in the next year, with some forecasts targeting $482 by 2025. However, short-term analysis indicates potential for 8-10% gains to $182-185, with bearish scenarios possibly retesting the $160-165 range.
Key Technical Levels to Watch
Support Levels:
- Immediate: $160-162
- Strong: $140-150
- Major: $120-125
Resistance Levels:
- Immediate: $180-185
- Strong: $190-200
- Major: $220-250
Seasonal and Market Patterns
Token Unlock Schedule
Solana has periodic token unlocks that can create selling pressure. Monitor the unlock calendar as these events often lead to temporary price declines.
Market Correlation
SOL typically shows high correlation with:
- Ethereum (0.8-0.9 correlation)
- Other Layer-1 blockchains
- General crypto market sentiment
Volume Patterns
Higher trading volumes often precede significant price movements. Watch for volume spikes that might indicate institutional activity or major news catalysts.
Risk Factors to Consider
Network-Specific Risks
- Outages: Historical network downtime events
- Centralisation Concerns: Concentration of validators
- MEV Issues: Maximal Extractable Value problems
Market Risks
- High Volatility: SOL can experience 20-50% daily moves
- Correlation Risk: Heavy correlation with crypto markets
- Liquidity Risk: Lower liquidity during market stress
How to Stay Informed
Essential Resources
- Solscan.io: Real-time network analytics and transaction data
- DefiLlama: TVL and DeFi protocol metrics
- Solana Beach: Validator and staking information
- CoinGecko/CoinMarketCap: Price data and market metrics
Key Indicators Dashboard
Create a watchlist including:
- SOL/USD price and volume
- TVL across major protocols
- Daily active addresses
- Network transaction count
- Staking yield rates
Trading Strategies for Beginners
- Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): Given SOL's volatility, regular small purchases can help smooth out price fluctuations over time.
- Support/Resistance Trading: Use the technical levels mentioned above to identify potential entry and exit points.
- Fundamental Analysis: Focus on network growth metrics rather than short-term price movements for long-term positions.
Frequently Asked Questions
- Does the overall cryptocurrency market affect Solana's price?
Yes, Solana's price is often strongly correlated with the broader crypto market, especially Bitcoin.
- Is Solana's price stable, or should I expect big changes?
You should be prepared for significant price swings, both up and down.
Solana Remains Volatile Like Any Cryptocurrency
A complex interplay of network fundamentals, market sentiment, and technical factors drives Solana's price action. Success in the ecosystem depends on high throughput, low costs, and strong developer activity, making these key areas to monitor.
For beginners, focus on understanding the underlying network health through TVL, transaction volume, and developer activity rather than trying to time short-term price movements. Remember that cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and you should never invest more than you can afford to lose.
Keep learning, stay informed about network developments, and always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. The crypto market is highly volatile, and past performance doesn't guarantee future results.
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Recommended reading
If you enjoyed this post and have a little extra time to dive deeper down the rabbit hole, why not check out the following posts on cryptocurrency and blockchain?
- Why Blockchain and Cryptocurrency Is The Future Of Money
- 24 Ways To Earn Cryptocurrency
- How To Pay Tax On Cryptocurrency In South Africa
- How To Buy Bitcoin In South Africa
- Why Does Your Bitcoin Wallet Address Keep Changing?
- How To Tokenise Your Art & Sell It For Cryptocurrency
Disclaimer: This article should not be taken as, and is not intended to provide any investment advice and is for educational purposes only. As of the time of posting the writers may or may not have holdings in some of the coins or tokens they cover. Please conduct your own thorough research before investing in any cryptocurrency, as all investments contain risk.
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